Montreal vs. New England Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. New England MLS match on April 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
0
3
Gillette Stadium
New England
Gillette Stadium
New EnglandNE
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
L. Langoni (6')
Soccer ball icon
M. Mitrovic (34')
Red Card icon
M. Fofana (77')
Soccer ball icon
P. Miller (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New England
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by P. Miller
    0-3
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: J. Yueill replaces L. Langoni
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces W. Carmona
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: N. Streit replaces B. Craig
  5. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by M. Fofana, assisted by L. Langoni
    0-2
  6. 69'
    Yellow Card
    B. Craig (CF Montreal) cautioned
  7. 64'
    Yellow Card
    W. Carmona (CF Montreal) cautioned
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: P. Miller replaces G. Yow
  9. 53'
    Yellow Card
    G. Synchuk (CF Montreal) cautioned
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: G. Synchuk replaces D. Thorhallsson
  11. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: A. Yusuf replaces M. Polster
  12. 34'
    Red Card
    M. Mitrovic (New England Revolution) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 33'
    Yellow Card
    W. Sands (New England Revolution) cautioned
  14. 27'
    Yellow Card
    B. Raines (New England Revolution) cautioned
  15. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by L. Langoni
    0-1

Montreal vs. New England: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. New England
  • Date: Saturday, April 4, 2026
  • Time: 4:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +280, New England -105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 22.7%
  • New England: 54.3%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 1-1 New England (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Montreal vs. New England? Prediction & correct score

New England is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.3%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 1-1 New England.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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