Atlanta vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlanta vs. Philadelphia MLS match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Atlanta
2
3
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
M. Iloski (73')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pierre (90')
Soccer ball icon
E. Alladoh (90')
Soccer ball icon
E. Mihaj (26')
Red Card icon
M. Almiron (30')
Soccer ball icon
T. Muyumba (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlanta
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Baez (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Pierre, assisted by K. Wagner
    2-2
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by E. Alladoh, assisted by K. Wagner
    2-3
  4. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: R. Hernandez replaces T. Muyumba
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Kovac replaces M. Almiron
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: L. Brennan replaces F. Picault
  8. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Gregersen replaces A. Miranchuk
  9. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
    2-1
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces N. Harriel
  11. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
  12. 68'
    Yellow Card
    B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  13. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Muyumba, assisted by A. Miranchuk
    2-0
  14. 59'
    Yellow Card
    L. Hoyos (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
  15. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
  16. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
  17. 53'
    Yellow Card
    N. Harriel (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  18. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by M. Almiron
    1-0
  19. 28'
    Yellow Card
    M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  20. 26'
    Red Card
    E. Mihaj (Atlanta Utd) sent off with a straight red card

Atlanta vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +450, Philadelphia -167, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlanta: 16.8%
  • Philadelphia: 63.4%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlanta 1-2 Philadelphia (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Atlanta vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.4%.

The most likely correct score is Atlanta 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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