NY City vs. Charlotte Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Charlotte MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
NY City
1
0
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
Bank of America Stadium
CharlotteCHA
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
N. Mercau (8')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Charlotte
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Raul Gustavo (New York City) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: T. Smalls replaces P. Biel
  3. 87'
    Yellow Card
    A. Goodwin (Charlotte) cautioned
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    M. Jones (New York City) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces M. Moralez
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Perea replaces N. Mercau
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces K. Parks
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces I. Toklomati
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: R. Aloko replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
  10. 71'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zaha (Charlotte) cautioned
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces A. Ojeda
  12. 40'
    Yellow Card
    H. Wolf (New York City) cautioned
  13. 38'
    Yellow Card
    P. Biel (Charlotte) cautioned
  14. 36'
    Yellow Card
    D. Diani (Charlotte) cautioned
  15. 33'
    Yellow Card
    A. Ojeda (New York City) cautioned
  16. 29'
    Yellow Card
    N. Mercau (New York City) cautioned
  17. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau, assisted by H. Wolf
    1-0

NY City vs. Charlotte: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Charlotte
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +210, Charlotte +155, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY City: 30.7%
  • Charlotte: 45.5%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY City 1-1 Charlotte (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win NY City vs. Charlotte? Prediction & correct score

Charlotte is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.5%.

The most likely correct score is NY City 1-1 Charlotte.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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