Cardinals vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/31/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Friday.

St. Louis Cardinals-Toronto Blue Jays Predictions and Game Preview.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB prediction for Friday, July 31, 2026.

The Toronto Blue Jays and St. Louis Cardinals are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Friday, starting at 7:07 PM ET.

Dylan Cease (7-5, 2.46 ERA) will start on the mound for the Blue Jays, up against Kyle Leahy (7-4, 3.55 ERA) for the Cardinals.

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner in this Cardinals vs. Blue Jays prediction.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Blue Jays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Blue Jays a 62.6% chance of defeating the Cardinals.

According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 55.6% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.1% chance of going over,.

 

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays odds [7/31/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Cardinals Blue Jays
Run Line +1.5 (-125) -1.5 (+122)
Moneyline +170 -174
Total o7.5 (+106) u7.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Cardinals +1.5 -125
Moneyline Cardinals +170
Total Over 7.5 fanatics+106

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Cardinals at Rogers Centre is scheduled to start at 7:07 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 62.6% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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