MLB postseason player props today: Tuesday's best props include Matthew Boyd [9/29/2026]

Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs (-120)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 62.6%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Cubs' Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 62.6% gives this play an edge of 8.1% at -120 odds.

Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed (+123)

• Edge: 9.8%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Matthew Boyd’s hits allowed prop shows a 54.6% probability and an 9.8% edge at +123 odds, according to our model.

Matthew Boyd over 1.5 walks allowed (+155)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Matthew Boyd over 1.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 42.2% probability and a 3.0% edge at +155.

Luis Campusano over 1.5 bases (+210)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 34.8%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Luis Campusano over 1.5 bases, with a 34.8% probability and an edge of 2.5% at +210 odds.

Jake Cronenworth over 1.5 bases (+265)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 31.0%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jake Cronenworth over 1.5 bases for Padres, showing an edge of 3.6% at +265 odds.

Austin Hays to get an RBI (+315)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 26.3%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Austin Hays’s to get an RBI prop shows an edge of 2.2% at +315 odds, supported by a 26.3% probability according to our model.

Austin Hays over 2.5 bases (+500)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 22.4%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Austin Hays over 2.5 bases for Padres, with a 22.4% probability and a 5.7% edge at +500 odds.

Pedro Ramírez over 0.5 to steal a base (+577)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 19.5%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Pedro Ramírez over 0.5 to steal a base, supported by a 19.5% probability at +577 odds and an edge of 4.7%.

Austin Hays over 0.5 to steal a base (+3600)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 5.3%
• Game: Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET)

A 2.6% edge on the over 0.5 to steal a base line makes Austin Hays a value play in Cubs vs. Padres, supported by a 5.3% probability at +3600 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, September 29, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 9:56PM ET:

Conclusion

For September 29, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Matthew Boyd, Luis Campusano and Jake Cronenworth. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.