MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Phillies vs. Braves play [9/30/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Wednesday, September 30, 2026.

Today’s MLB picks for September 30, 2026 are here, with Phillies vs. Braves and Red Sox vs. Yankees among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s MLB postseason play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [9/30, updated 2:32AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
Phillies vs. Braves Over 7.5 runs (+120)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Braves (2:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Phillies vs. Braves at 45¢ odds. A 52.7% probability produces an edge of 7.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Over 6.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 59%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET)
Red Sox vs. Yankees over 6.5 runs carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 59% at 53¢ odds, according to our model.
White Sox vs. Astros Over 7.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (5:00PM ET)
White Sox vs. Astros Over 7.5 runs at 49¢ odds shows a 5.6% edge, supported by a 54.6% probability in simulations.
Astros -1.5 (+163)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 41.8%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Astros (5:00PM ET)
A 3.8% edge and 41.8% probability makes Astros -1.5 vs. White Sox a value play in the White Sox vs. Astros matchup, per our model.
MLB Playoffs best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/30/2026
As of 2:32AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies vs. Braves | Over 7.5 runs | 45¢ @ Novig | 7.3% | 52.7% |
| Red Sox vs. Yankees | Over 6.5 runs | 53¢ @ Novig | 6.0% | 59% |
| White Sox vs. Astros | Over 7.5 Runs | 49¢ @ Polymarket | 5.6% | 54.6% |
| White Sox vs. Astros | Astros -1.5 vs. White Sox | 38¢ @ Novig | 3.8% | 41.8% |
List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [9/30/2026]
- Phillies vs. Braves (2:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- White Sox vs. Astros (5:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Red Sox vs. Yankees (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Cubs vs. Padres (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 30, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Phillies vs. Braves matchup and over 6.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.


