MLB player props today: Labor Day best props include Jonah Tong [9/7/2026]

Jonah Tong under 4.5 hits allowed (-148)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on NY Mets' Jonah Tong under 4.5 hits allowed. A probability of 63.4% gives this play an edge of 3.7% at -148 odds.

Christian Koss to get a hit (-140)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 61.1%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET)

Christian Koss’s to get a hit prop shows a 61.1% probability and an 2.8% edge at -140 odds, according to our model.

Nate Furman to get a hit (-140)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nate Furman to get a hit, with simulations showing a 60.7% probability and a 2.3% edge at -140.

Shay Whitcomb to get a hit (-129)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Shay Whitcomb to get a hit, with a 58.7% probability and an edge of 2.3% at -129 odds.

Trevor Rogers under 4.5 strikeouts (+106)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Trevor Rogers under 4.5 strikeouts for Baltimore, showing an edge of 9.7% at +106 odds.

Grayson Rodriguez under 15.5 outs recorded (-111)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 57.9%
• Game: Angels vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

Grayson Rodriguez’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -111 odds, supported by a 57.9% probability according to our model.

Brett Baty to get a hit (-105)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Game: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brett Baty to get a hit for NY Mets, with a 57.3% probability and a 6.1% edge at -105 odds.

Robert Gasser under 4.5 strikeouts (+100)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Game: Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Robert Gasser under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 54.8% probability at +100 odds and an edge of 4.8%.

Graham Pauley to get a hit (+102)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 53.0%
• Game: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

A 3.5% edge on the to get a hit line makes Graham Pauley a value play in Mets vs. Marlins, supported by a 53.0% probability at +102 odds.

Jacob Lopez over 4.5 strikeouts (+115)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jacob Lopez over 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 50.8% probability and 4.3% edge at +115 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, September 7, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:52AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 7, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jonah Tong, Christian Koss and Nate Furman. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.