Mets vs. Marlins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Marlins MLB game on Monday, September 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Jonah Tong 1-1, 3.60 ERA
9
4
loanDepot park
Marlins
Eury Pérez 7-10, 3.72 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
2 1 1 3 0 2 0 0 0 9 16 0
Marlins
0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    100%
  • Marlins
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Graham Pauley called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS6120003.3330.666
2 J. Soto DH5220011.4000.900
3 B. Bichette 3B5121011.4000.900
4 C. Benge RF4210012.2500.650
5 M. Semien 2B5221000.4001.200
6 A. Ewing CF5033000.6001.400
7 F. Alvarez C4011012.2500.650
8 B. Baty 1B4110011.2500.900
9 N. Morabito LF4021010.5001.100
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Stowers DH3000002.0000.250
2 H. Hernández LF4000003.0000.000
3 G. Conine 1B4000001.0000.000
4 O. Lopez SS4010001.2500.500
5 J. Marsee CF4120000.5001.000
6 J. Sanoja 2B3121010.6672.083
7 O. Caissie RF3100012.0000.250
8 G. Pauley 3B3113102.3331.833
9 A. Ramírez PH0000000.0000.000

Mets vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. Miami Marlins
  • Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
  • Time: 1:10PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -160), Marlins (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Mets +125, Marlins -127
  • Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (-109/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 49.5%
  • Marlins: 50.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 49.5%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 50.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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