Braves vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Braves vs. Phillies MLB game on Monday, September 7, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Braves
Grant Holmes 9-5, 3.62 ERA
0
1
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 13-5, 3.02 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Braves
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 X 1 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Braves
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ozzie Albies flies out to left field to Brandon Marsh.
Quick Box Score
Braves Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Acuña DH3000011.0000.250
2 D. Baldwin C4000002.0000.000
3 O. Albies 2B4000001.0000.000
4 M. Olson 1B3010001.3330.666
5 L. Thomas RF3000002.0000.000
6 M. Harris CF3010001.3330.666
7 M. Dubón LF3000000.0000.000
8 A. Riley 3B2000002.0000.333
9 H. Kim SS3000002.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4121101.5001.750
2 T. Turner SS4010001.2500.750
3 B. Harper RF2000011.0000.333
4 L. Arraez 2B3000001.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B2000011.0000.333
6 B. Stott 3B3000001.0000.000
7 B. Marsh LF3010000.3330.666
8 J. Realmuto C3000003.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3000001.0000.000

Braves vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
  • Time: 1:05PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Braves (+1.5, -130), Phillies (-1.5, +127)
  • Moneyline: Braves +174, Phillies -170
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Braves: 38.6%
  • Phillies: 61.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Braves a win probability of 38.6%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 61.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Braves in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Braves vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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