MLB picks today: Labor Day MLB best bets include Braves vs. Phillies play [9/7/2026]

Braves vs. Phillies Over 8.5 runs (+115)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Braves vs. Phillies at +115 odds. A 52% probability produces an edge of 5.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Guardians vs. Orioles Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)

Guardians vs. Orioles over 8.5 runs carries a 5.3% edge and a probability of 52.3% at +113 odds, according to our model.

Angels vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

Angels vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 runs at -104 odds shows a 4.9% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.

Mets ML (+108)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

A 4.2% edge and 52.3% probability makes Mets at the moneyline a value play in the Mets vs. Marlins matchup, per our model.

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Blue Jays vs. Athletics Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds presents a 4.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 53.1%.

Athletics ML (+183)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 38.9%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics to win at +183 odds, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

Mets -1.5 (+178)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 39.5%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Mets -1.5 at +178 odds. A 39.5% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Athletics +1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 50.9%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)

A 2.8% edge on a 50.9% probability makes Athletics +1.5 at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Blue Jays vs. Athletics matchup.

Mets vs. MarlinsOver 7.5 runs (-117)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -117 odds. A 56.3% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Giants ML (-120)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 56.9%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Giants to defeat Cardinals at -120 odds shows a 56.9% probability and a 2.4% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 9/7/2026

As of 1:21AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/7/2026]

• Braves vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET, Monday)
• Mets vs. Marlins (1:10PM ET, Monday)
• Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Monday)
• Angels vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Monday)
• Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Monday)
• Nationals vs. Padres (5:10PM ET, Monday)
• Cardinals vs. Giants (8:10PM ET, Monday)
• Blue Jays vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 7, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Braves vs. Phillies matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Guardians vs. Orioles matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.