Astros vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Phillies MLB game on Tuesday, September 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Astros
Hayden Wesneski 4-1, 3.18 ERA
6
5
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 3-8, 5.55 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 4 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 6 11 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 1 5 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Kyle Schwarber pops out to shallow right field to Nick Allen.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Peña SS5011001.2000.600
2 Y. Alvarez DH5000001.0000.000
3 I. Paredes 3B3010021.3330.933
4 N. Allen 2B0000000.0000.000
5 D. Varsho CF5231102.6002.000
6 Y. Diaz C5120000.4000.800
7 C. Walker 1B3123110.6672.417
8 T. Trammell LF4010003.2500.500
9 C. Smith RF3211111.3331.833
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH5111000.2000.400
2 T. Turner SS4122101.5002.000
3 B. Harper RF4010001.2500.500
4 G. Stubbs 1B0000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4110002.2500.750
6 B. Stott 2B3110000.3330.833
7 E. Sosa PH10110001.0003.000
8 J. Realmuto C4000000.0000.000
9 D. Hill CF2000001.0000.000

Astros vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday, September 8, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Astros (+1.5, -160), Phillies (-1.5, +160)
  • Moneyline: Astros +125, Phillies -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Astros: 48.2%
  • Phillies: 51.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 48.2%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 51.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.