Home run predictions for Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker [7/29/2026]
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, July 29, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for July 29, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +579.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 26.0% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 21.9% |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 20.6% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.4% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 19.4% |
| Manny Machado (Padres) | 19.0% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.9% |
| Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers) | 18.8% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 18.6% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 18.3% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.0% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (21.9%) and Fernando Tatis (20.6%).
Kyle Tucker and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [7/29/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 19.4%
- Odds: +579
- Edge: 4.7%
- Game: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Emerson Hancock
Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +579 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.7% edge.
With Emerson Hancock on the mound for the Mariners, the data supports Tucker as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For July 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Fernando Tatis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.7% edge at +579 odds.
Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Wednesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts
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