Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Ben Rice [8/3/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.7% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (19.8%) and Yordan Alvarez (18.6%).

Junior Caminero and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/3/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.5%
• Odds: +610
• Edge: 2.4%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Cubs (8:05 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Matthew Boyd

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +610 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.4% edge.

Against Cubs starter Matthew Boyd, the data supports Tucker as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 3, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.4% edge at +610 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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