MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Astros vs. Angels play [7/28/2026]

Astros vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (+104)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 54.7%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Astros vs. Angels at +104 odds. A 54.7% probability produces an edge of 5.6%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Brewers vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Brewers vs. Giants over 7.5 runs carries a 4.8% edge and a probability of 50.8% at +117 odds, according to our model.

Rockies vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 50.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 3.7% edge, supported by a 50.7% probability in simulations.

Red Sox vs. Athletics over 10.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

A 3.5% edge and 51.6% probability make Red Sox vs. Athletics over 10.5 runs a value play in the Red Sox vs. Athletics matchup, per our model.

Athletics +1.5 (-113)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 56.3%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Athletics +1.5 at -113 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.3%.

Athletics ML (+135)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 45.7%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Athletics to win at +135 odds, supported by an edge of 3.2%.

Giants ML (+138)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 44.6%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Brewers-Giants to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +138 odds. A 44.6% probability produces a 2.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Mariners ML (+213)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 34%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

A 2.1% edge on a 34% probability makes Mariners to win at +213 odds a solid value play in today's Mariners vs. Dodgers matchup.

Mariners vs. DodgersOver 9.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 50.1%
• Matchup: Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 9.5 runs at +108 odds. A 50.1% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 7/28/2026

As of 9:11PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/28/2026]

• Astros vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mariners vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)
• D-Backs vs. Pirates (12:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Nationals (1:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Orioles vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Brewers vs. Giants (3:45PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rockies vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rangers vs. Rays (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Guardians vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Yankees vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Royals vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cubs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 28, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Astros vs. Angels matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Giants matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.