Rockies vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockies vs. Padres MLB game on Tuesday, July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rockies
Michael Lorenzen 3-9, 6.53 ERA
7
8
Petco Park
Padres
Michael King 6-7, 3.24 ERA
Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rockies
0 0 4 0 0 0 2 1 0 7 10 4
Padres
0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 8 16 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockies
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center field to Cole Carrigg. Jackson Merrill scores.
Quick Box Score
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. McCarthy RF5111001.2000.400
2 M. Moniak LF5123103.4001.600
3 H. Goodman C5000004.0000.000
4 T. Rumfield 1B5000001.0000.000
5 C. Carrigg CF4130000.7501.500
6 T. Johnston DH4010000.2500.500
7 W. Castro 2B2211121.5002.750
8 K. Karros 3B0000000.0000.000
9 E. Tovar SS3112011.3331.167
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis RF51520001.0002.000
2 J. Cronenworth 2B5100001.0000.000
3 M. Machado 3B4131010.7501.550
4 T. France 1B5110001.2000.400
5 J. Merrill CF5131001.6001.200
6 L. Rengifo LF3000011.0000.250
7 S. Song PH0000010.0001.000
8 X. Bogaerts SS3111011.3330.733
9 L. Campusano C4021000.5001.250

Rockies vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
  • Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rockies (+1.5, -104), Padres (-1.5, +100)
  • Moneyline: Rockies +217, Padres -213
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rockies: 33.0%
  • Padres: 67.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockies a win probability of 33.0%, while the Padres have a win probability of 67.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Petco Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockies vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.