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Rockies vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockies vs. Padres MLB game on July 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Rockies
Michael Lorenzen 3-9, 6.53 ERA
7
8
Jul 28, 9:40 PM ET Petco Park
Padres
Michael King 6-7, 3.24 ERA
Jul 28, 9:40 PM ET Petco Park
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockies | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
Padres | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Rockies
- Padres
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Xander Bogaerts out on a sacrifice fly to center field to Cole Carrigg. Jackson Merrill scores.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McCarthy | RF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | M. Moniak | LF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .400 | 1.600 |
| 3 | H. Goodman | C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | T. Rumfield | 1B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | C. Carrigg | CF | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.500 |
| 6 | T. Johnston | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | W. Castro | 2B | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .500 | 2.750 |
| 8 | K. Karros | 3B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | E. Tovar | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 1.167 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
| 2 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .750 | 1.550 |
| 4 | T. France | 1B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 5 | J. Merrill | CF | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .600 | 1.200 |
| 6 | L. Rengifo | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 7 | S. Song | PH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 8 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.733 |
| 9 | L. Campusano | C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.250 |
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Rockies vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockies vs. Padres
- Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockies +217, Padres -213
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockies: 33%
- Padres: 67%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockies a win probability of 33%, while the Padres have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Petco Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockies vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.