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Read Article Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians will meet in MLB action at Rate Field on Sunday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
Davis Martin (9-6, 4.13 ERA) will start on the mound for the White Sox, up against Joey Cantillo (8-7, 3.87 ERA) for the Guardians.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Guardians a slight edge with a 52.8% win probability over the White Sox.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Guardians vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Guardians and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Guardians a 52.8% chance of beating the White Sox.
According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 58.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.6% chance of going over,.
Guardians vs. White Sox odds [8/9/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: White Sox +1.5 @ -138 via Polymarket
- Moneyline: White Sox @ +118 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Novig
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guardians vs. White Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: White Sox +1.5 @ -138 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: White Sox @ +118 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Novig According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guardians vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the White Sox and Guardians at Rate Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
- Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Rate Field
Conclusion
We predict the Guardians, with a 52.8% win probability, will likely beat the White Sox in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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