Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Why Boston is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/10/2026]
Get Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays predictions for MLB Monday.
The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Boston Red Sox in MLB action at Rogers Centre on Monday, beginning at 7:07 PM ET.
Jameson Taillon (2-6, 5.96 ERA) will start on the mound for the Blue Jays, pitting him against Sonny Gray (14-2, 2.78 ERA) for the Red Sox.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner in this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Sonny Gray's's projected pitching stats.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Red Sox a 56.5% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 53.1% chance of going over,.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays odds [8/10/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+120) / Blue Jays +1.5 (-117)
- Moneyline: Red Sox -144, Blue Jays +149
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Blue Jays +1.5 @ -117 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Blue Jays @ +149 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +108 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Rogers Centre is scheduled to begin at 7:07 PM ET.
- Who: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
- Time: 7:07 PM ET/4:07PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Red Sox, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
