Red Sox vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Monday, August 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Sonny Gray 14-2, 2.78 ERA
1
2
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Jameson Taillon 2-6, 5.96 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6 1
Blue Jays
0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 X 2 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Blue Jays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nick Sogard grounds out to first base to Vladimir Guerrero.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Sogard SS4010010.2500.650
2 C. Rafaela CF3021000.6671.167
3 W. Abreu RF3000010.0000.250
4 W. Contreras 1B3000011.0000.250
5 E. White DH0000000.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B4000002.0000.000
7 J. Duran LF4010001.2500.750
8 A. Seigler 2B3110000.3330.666
9 A. Monasterio PH1000001.0000.000
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Lukes RF4000000.0000.000
2 B. Bateman CF4010001.2500.500
3 V. Guerrero 1B4010000.2500.500
4 G. Springer DH4110000.2500.500
5 M. Straw LF1000000.0000.000
6 A. Giménez SS4011002.2500.500
7 E. Clement 2B1000000.0000.000
8 J. Smith 3B3010002.3330.666
9 B. Valenzuela C3010000.3331.000

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:07PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +113), Blue Jays (+1.5, -113)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -150, Blue Jays +149
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+106/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 57.2%
  • Blue Jays: 42.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 57.2%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 42.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Blue Jays in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.