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Monterrey vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on July 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
Monterrey
1
2
Jul 26, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
Jul 26, 7:00 PM ET Estadio Victoria
Score Summary
J. Carranza (56')
J. Valencia (90')
S. Medina (20')
L. Ocampos (pen.) (67')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Necaxa
- Monterrey
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Valencia replaces J. Ruiz
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Valencia, assisted by M. Zaleta
1-2
Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces J. Rodriguez
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces L. Faravelli
Substitution for Necaxa: M. Zaleta replaces C. Vargas
M. Varini (Necaxa) cautioned
Substitution for Monterrey: L. Reyes replaces L. Orellano
Substitution for Necaxa: M. Pedroza replaces J. P. Torres Patino
Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Ocampos (pen.)
1-1
Substitution for Monterrey: H. Cuypers replaces D. Rossi
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces G. Arteaga
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza, assisted by F. Mendez
0-1
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Rodriguez replaces R. Monreal
Substitution for Monterrey: O. Pineda replaces J. Corona
C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
R. Chavez (Monterrey) cautioned
L. Faravelli (Necaxa) cautioned
S. Medina (Monterrey) sent off with a straight red card
R. Monreal (Necaxa) cautioned
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Monterrey vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Monterrey vs. Necaxa
- Date: Sunday, July 26, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Monterrey +115, Necaxa +270, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+132)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Monterrey: 44.4%
- Necaxa: 32.7%
- Draw: 22.9%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa (10.0%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Monterrey vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score
Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.
The most likely correct score is Monterrey 1-1 Necaxa.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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