Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Guadalajara Liga MX match on September 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIVE
90'
LIGA MX
Updating LIVE
LIVE
90'
Updating LIVE
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Queretaro
2
:
0
Estadio Akron
Guadalajara
Estadio Akron
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
O. Govea (90')
Red Card icon
A. Avila (12')
Soccer ball icon
M. Coronel (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Guadalajara
    <0.1%
  • Draw
    0.1%
  • Queretaro
    99.9%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 87'
    Yellow Card
    L. Abascia (Queretaro) cautioned
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: L. Rey replaces D. Aguirre
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: A. Alcala replaces M. Coronel
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: Paulo Victor replaces C. Garcia
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Carrillo replaces H. Camberos
  7. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by M. Coronel, assisted by E. Gimenez
    2-0
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces I. Benito
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces K. Castaneda
  10. 52'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces B. Duarte
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Ledezma replaces F. Gonzalez
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces B. Gutierrez
  13. 41'
    Yellow Card
    B. Duarte (Queretaro) cautioned
  14. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Queretaro by A. Avila, assisted by E. Gimenez
    1-0

Queretaro vs. Guadalajara: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:07 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Akron

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +390, Guadalajara -155, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 17.5%
  • Guadalajara: 60.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-1 Guadalajara (12.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Queretaro vs. Guadalajara? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.1%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-1 Guadalajara.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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