Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [8/29/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Pachuca vs Guadalajara predictions for Liga MX Saturday.

Pachuca-Guadalajara Predictions and Game Preview.
Pachuca vs. Guadalajara Liga MX prediction for Saturday, August 29, 2026.

Pachuca will face Guadalajara in Liga MX action at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner in this Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pachuca vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pachuca and Guadalajara, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 35.3% chance of Pachuca winning, a 38.7% chance for Guadalajara, and a 25.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.0% chance of staying under, with a 54.3% probability that both teams find the net.

 

Pachuca vs. Guadalajara odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +115, Pachuca +210

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pachuca vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Pachuca @ +210 via FanDuel
  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +114 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Pachuca vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara (12.3% probability)
  • Pachuca 0-1 Guadalajara (9.5%)
  • Pachuca 1-0 Guadalajara (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.3% chance of both Pachuca and Guadalajara finding the net and a 45.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Pachuca vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Pachuca and Guadalajara at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Pachuca vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 35.3% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 38.7% win probability, and there is a 25.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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