Real Sociedad vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Real Sociedad vs. Valencia La Liga match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
4
3
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Anoeta
Real Sociedad
May 17, 1:00 PM ET Anoeta
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
A. Munoz (3')
Soccer ball icon
C. Tarrega (o.g.) (60')
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O. Oskarsson (63')
Soccer ball icon
J. Guerra (8')
Soccer ball icon
H. Duro (22')
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E. Comert (70')
Red Card icon
G. Rodriguez (89')
Soccer ball icon
J. Guerra (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Real Sociedad
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by J. Guerra, assisted by T. Rendall
4-3
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by G. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Almeida
3-3
88'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
J. Martin (Real Sociedad) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
B. Turrientes (Real Sociedad) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Aramburu replaces A. Elustondo
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Almeida replaces U. Nunez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: G. Guedes replaces O. Oskarsson
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: U. Sadiq replaces H. Duro
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: T. Rendall replaces F. Ugrinic
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: L. Ramazani replaces L. Rioja
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces D. Lopez
70'
Red Card
E. Comert (Valencia) sent off with a straight red card
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by O. Oskarsson, assisted by M. Oyarzabal
2-3
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by C. Tarrega (o.g.)
2-2
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: S. Gomez replaces A. Munoz
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: M. Oyarzabal replaces A. Zakharyan
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: L. Sucic replaces B. Mendez
25'
Yellow Card
A. Zakharyan (Real Sociedad) cautioned
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by E. Comert
2-1
8'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by J. Guerra, assisted by D. Lopez
1-1
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by A. Munoz, assisted by A. Elustondo
0-1

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Real Sociedad vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Valencia
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Anoeta

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad +145, Valencia +210, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 42.5%
  • Valencia: 31.4%
  • Draw: 26.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Real Sociedad vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.5%.

The most likely correct score is Real Sociedad 1-1 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Real Sociedad vs. Valencia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.