Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche La Liga match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
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LA LIGA
Elche
1
:
1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Score Summary
ElcheELC
I. Williams (79')
Soccer ball icon
F. Buonanotte (pen.) (50')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Athletic Bilbao
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Elche
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Sanchez (Elche) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Berchiche (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: M. Neto replaces G. Villar
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: L. Cepeda replaces G. Valera
  5. 81'
    Yellow Card
    A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gerenabarrena (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces I. Williams
  8. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by A. Berenguer
    1-1
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: R. Sanchez replaces Tete Morente
  10. 75'
    Yellow Card
    A. Osorio (Elche) cautioned
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces R. Navarro
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: A. Osorio replaces F. Nino
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Elche: T. Lemar replaces F. Buonanotte
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: J. Louis-Jean replaces J. Areso
  15. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
  16. 56'
    Yellow Card
    F. Redondo Solari (Elche) cautioned
  17. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Elche by F. Buonanotte (pen.)
    1-0

Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao 70¢, Elche 12¢, draw 19¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (58¢/43¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Athletic Bilbao: 63.9%
  • Elche: 15.3%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Elche (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs. Elche? Prediction & correct score

Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.9%.

The most likely correct score is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Elche.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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