Sevilla vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sevilla vs. Valencia La Liga match on September 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Valencia
0
1
Sevilla
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
J. Iglesias (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sevilla
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Valencia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Yellow Card
    P. Maffeo (Valencia) cautioned
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces J. Guerra
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces J. Gaya
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Guridi replaces L. Stassin
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: J. Diaz replaces F. Correia
  6. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sevilla by J. Iglesias, assisted by G. Kochorashvili
    0-1
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: G. Kochorashvili replaces Y. Fofana
  8. 67'
    Yellow Card
    C. Ejuke (Sevilla) cautioned
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: R. Ure replaces I. Romero
  10. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces M. Sierra
  11. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: P. Maffeo replaces A. Martinez
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: H. Elliott replaces R. Sato
  13. 27'
    Yellow Card
    R. Sato (Valencia) cautioned
  14. 24'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Valencia: I. Cordoba replaces C. Tarrega

Sevilla vs. Valencia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Valencia
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla 54¢, Valencia 18¢, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (44¢/57¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sevilla: 47.8%
  • Valencia: 25.3%
  • Draw: 26.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia (13.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Sevilla vs. Valencia? Prediction & correct score

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.8%.

The most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-0 Valencia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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