Racing Santander vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Racing Santander vs. Alaves La Liga match on September 12, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
ESP sport icon
LA LIGA
Alaves
1
2
Estadio El Sardinero
Racing Santander
Estadio El Sardinero
Racing SantanderRACS
Score Summary
AlavesALA
Y. Zabiri (38')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Zabiri (53')
Soccer ball icon
A. Almeida (89')
Red Card icon
V. Koski (18')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Racing Santander
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Alaves
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: M. Rodriguez replaces A. Manas
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: Pedro Felipe replaces G. Guliashvili
  3. 89'
    Red Card
    A. Almeida (Racing Santander) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: A. Manas replaces A. Perez
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: A. Villalibre replaces I. Vicente
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: M. Gueye replaces M. Prati
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: I. Luque replaces S. Canales
  8. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: G. Guliashvili replaces Y. Zabiri
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces A. Blanco
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces M. Diaz
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Racing Santander: A. Almeida replaces P. Garcia
  12. 62'
    Yellow Card
    J. Salinas (Racing Santander) cautioned
  13. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
  14. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by Y. Zabiri, assisted by J. Salinas
    1-2
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces P. Ibanez
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Alaves: N. Valentini replaces N. Tenaglia
  17. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Racing Santander by Y. Zabiri, assisted by I. Vicente
    1-1
  18. 35'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Zabiri (Racing Santander) cautioned
  19. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Alaves by V. Koski
    1-0
  20. 8'
    Yellow Card
    P. Ibanez (Alaves) cautioned
  21. 7'
    Yellow Card
    N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned

Racing Santander vs. Alaves: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Racing Santander vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sardinero

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Racing Santander 36¢, Alaves 37¢, draw 28¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (56¢/45¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Racing Santander: 38.0%
  • Alaves: 37.5%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' La Liga data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Racing Santander 1-1 Alaves (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Racing Santander vs. Alaves? Prediction & correct score

Racing Santander is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.0%.

The most likely correct score is Racing Santander 1-1 Alaves.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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