Malaga vs. Levante prediction, odds, La Liga picks [9/6/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Malaga vs Levante predictions for La Liga Sunday.

Malaga takes on Levante in La Liga action.
Malaga vs. Levante La Liga prediction for Sunday, September 6, 2026.

Malaga and Levante will lock horns in La Liga at Estadio La Rosaleda on Sunday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced La Liga model projects Malaga as the most likely winner in this Malaga vs. Levante prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

For more, take a look at our insight into the La Liga title race, and how Mourinho can lead Real Madrid back to the top.

Malaga vs. Levante prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's La Liga match between Malaga and Levante, forming part of our La Liga predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 42.1% chance of Malaga winning, a 32.5% chance for Levante, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.8% chance of going over, with a 55.5% likelihood that both teams score.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best La Liga odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Levante +223, Malaga +153
  • Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Moneyline: Malaga @ +153 via Novig
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +102 via Novig

According to our best La Liga bets, the top play to make on this game is Malaga to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

  • Malaga 1-1 Levante (12% probability)
  • Malaga 1-0 Levante (9.5%)
  • Malaga 2-1 Levante (8.9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's La Liga action between Malaga and Levante at Estadio La Rosaleda is scheduled to start in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.

  • Who: Malaga vs. Levante
  • Date: Sunday, September 6, 2026
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
  • Venue: Estadio La Rosaleda

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Malaga has a 42.1% win probability on Sunday, Levante has a 32.5% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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