Newcastle vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Manchester City Premier League match on November 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
1
2
Newcastle
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
H. Barnes (63')
Soccer ball icon
H. Barnes (70')
Soccer ball icon
R. Dias (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Manchester City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    O. Bobb (Manchester City) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces P. Foden
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: A. Elanga replaces H. Barnes
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces N. Woltemade
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: T. Reijnders replaces B. Silva
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces R. Cherki
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Newcastle: S. Botman replaces L. Hall
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
  10. 71'
    Yellow Card
    G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
  11. 70'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes
    1-2
  12. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by R. Dias
    1-1
  13. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Newcastle by H. Barnes, assisted by Bruno Guimaraes
    0-1

Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +290, Manchester City -105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 24.2%
  • Manchester City: 53.5%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Manchester City (10.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Manchester City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.5%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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