Troy vs. Utah State Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Troy vs. Utah State NCAAF game on September 26, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
FINAL
CFB sport icon
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Troy
10
21
Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium
Utah State
Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Troy
    0%
  • Utah State
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Troy
7 3 0 0 10
Utah State
7 0 14 0 21
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Utah State
Troy
3rd and 12 at the TROY 30
Last Play
G.Brosterhous kneels at the TROY 30.

Troy vs. Utah State: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Troy vs. Utah State
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Utah State favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 47.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Troy +126, Utah State -137

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Troy: 44%
  • Utah State: 56%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Troy 23-25 Utah State.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Troy a win probability of 44%, while Utah State has a win probability of 56%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Utah State is more likely to beat Troy in CFB action at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Troy vs. Utah State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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