Florida State vs. Alabama Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our in-depth analysis offers a comprehensive prediction for the Florida State vs. Alabama NCAAF game on September 19, 2026. Drawing from 10,000 simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

FINAL
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FINAL
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Florida State
36
50
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Alabama
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Florida State
    0%
  • Alabama
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Florida State
14 7 7 8 36
Alabama
3 23 14 10 50
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Alabama
Florida State
4th and 15 at the FSU 48
Last Play
K.Russell kneels at the FSU 48.

Florida State vs. Alabama: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Florida State vs. Alabama
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bryant-Denny Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Alabama favored at -18.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 50.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Florida State +850, Alabama -1300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Florida State: 7%
  • Alabama: 93%

Dimers' predictive model estimates win probabilities after simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view of each team's chances.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this college football matchup is Florida State 16-35 Alabama.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Florida State a win probability of 7%, while Alabama has a win probability of 93%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Alabama is more likely to beat Florida State in CFB action at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Florida State vs. Alabama predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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