Tulsa vs. Arkansas prediction: Why Arkansas is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tulsa vs. Arkansas, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Arkansas a 70.4% chance of beating Tulsa. Our predicted final score has Arkansas winning 29-22. According to our model, Tulsa (+7.5) has a 54.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under has a 52.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tulsa +7.5 (-120) / Arkansas -7.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Tulsa +230, Arkansas -265
• Total: Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tulsa +7.5 @ -120 via bet365
• Moneyline: Tulsa @ +230 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 50.5 @ -110 via FanDuel

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 50.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Arkansas and Tulsa at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tulsa vs. Arkansas
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

College football Week 4 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Tulsa vs. Arkansas predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Arkansas, with a 70.4% win probability, will likely beat Tulsa in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.