Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay prediction: Why Austin Peay is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Austin Peay an 88.7% chance of beating Tennessee-Martin. Our predicted final score has Austin Peay winning 34-18. According to our model, Austin Peay (-15.5) has a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 51.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Tennessee-Martin +15.5 (-111) / Austin Peay -15.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: Tennessee-Martin +545, Austin Peay -880
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-116/-107)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Austin Peay -15.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Austin Peay @ -880 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 51.5 @ -116 via DraftKings

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin Peay to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Austin Peay and Tennessee-Martin at Fortera Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tennessee-Martin vs. Austin Peay
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Fortera Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Austin Peay, with an 88.7% win probability, will likely beat Tennessee-Martin in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.