Sam Houston State vs. Liberty prediction favors Liberty to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sam Houston State vs. Liberty, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Liberty an 84.0% chance of defeating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has Liberty winning 33-19. According to our model, Liberty (-13.5) has a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 51.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sam Houston State +13.5 (-106) / Liberty -13.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Sam Houston State +425, Liberty -520
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-109/-109)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Liberty -13.5 @ -105 via FanDuel
• Moneyline: Liberty @ -520 via FanDuel
• Total: Over 52.5 @ -109 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liberty -13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Thursday's college football game between Liberty and Sam Houston State at Williams Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sam Houston State vs. Liberty
• Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Williams Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Liberty, with an 84.0% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State in Thursday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.