New Mexico State vs. Florida International prediction favors Florida International to win in college football Week 6 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of New Mexico State vs. Florida International, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Florida International a 67.6% chance of defeating New Mexico State. Our predicted final score has Florida International winning 26-21. According to our model, New Mexico State (+6.5) has a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 53.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: New Mexico State +6.5 (-105) / Florida International -6.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: New Mexico State +220, Florida International -235
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-114/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: New Mexico State +6.5 @ -105 via bet365
• Moneyline: New Mexico State @ +220 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 46.5 @ -114 via BetRivers

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is New Mexico State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's college football action between Florida International and New Mexico State at Pitbull Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New Mexico State vs. Florida International
• Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Pitbull Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Florida International, with a 67.6% win probability, will likely beat New Mexico State in Wednesday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.