North Dakota vs. Indiana State prediction: Why North Dakota is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of North Dakota vs. Indiana State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives North Dakota a 91.3% chance of beating Indiana State. Our predicted final score has North Dakota winning 37-20. According to our model, Indiana State (+17.5) has a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 58.5-point over/under has a 52.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: North Dakota -17.5 (-111) / Indiana State +17.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: North Dakota -1200, Indiana State +710
• Total: Over/Under 58.5 (-104/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Indiana State +17.5 @ -111 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: North Dakota @ -1200 via bet365
• Total: Under 58.5 @ -115 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is North Dakota to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Indiana State and North Dakota at Memorial Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: North Dakota vs. Indiana State
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Memorial Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict North Dakota, with a 91.3% win probability, will likely beat Indiana State in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.