New Haven vs. Merrimack prediction: Why Merrimack is favored to win in college football Week 4 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of New Haven vs. Merrimack, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Merrimack a 79.7% chance of beating New Haven. Our predicted final score has Merrimack winning 26-16. According to our model, Merrimack (-9.5) has a 51.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 41.5-point over/under has a 56.2% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: New Haven +9.5 (-110) / Merrimack -9.5 (-120)
• Moneyline: New Haven +280, Merrimack -372
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Merrimack -9.5 @ -120 via bet365
• Moneyline: Merrimack @ -372 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 41.5 @ -115 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 41.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Merrimack and New Haven at Duane Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: New Haven vs. Merrimack
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Duane Stadium

College football Week 4 promos

Make the most of Dimers' New Haven vs. Merrimack predictions by exploring the Underdog Fantasy offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Merrimack, with a 79.7% win probability, will likely beat New Haven in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.