Louisiana-Monroe vs. Arkansas State prediction: Why Arkansas State is favored to win in college football Week 10 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Louisiana-Monroe vs. Arkansas State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Arkansas State an 85.6% chance of defeating Louisiana-Monroe. Our predicted final score has Arkansas State winning 33-19. According to our model, Louisiana-Monroe (+14.5) has a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 51.5-point over/under has a 54.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Louisiana-Monroe +14.5 (+100) / Arkansas State -14.5 (-104)
• Moneyline: Louisiana-Monroe +545, Arkansas State -567
• Total: Over/Under 51.5 (-122/+120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Louisiana-Monroe +14.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Arkansas State @ 85¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 51.5 @ 55¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Arkansas State to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe at Centennial Bank Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Louisiana-Monroe vs. Arkansas State
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00 PM PT
• Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Arkansas State, with an 85.6% win probability, will likely beat Louisiana-Monroe in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.