Dayton vs. Drake prediction favors Dayton to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Dayton vs. Drake, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Dayton a 66.0% chance of beating Drake. Our predicted final score has Dayton winning 30-24. According to our model, Dayton (-5.5) has a 50.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 54.8% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Dayton -5.5 (-112) / Drake +5.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Dayton -207, Drake +170
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-120/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dayton -5.5 @ -112 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dayton @ -207 via DraftKings
• Total: Over 52.5 @ -120 via bet365

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 52.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football matchup between Drake and Dayton at Drake Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dayton vs. Drake
• Date: Saturday, October 3, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Drake Stadium

College football Week 5 promos

Make the most of Dimers' Dayton vs. Drake predictions by exploring the Bet365 Sportsbook offer below:

Conclusion

We predict Dayton, with a 66.0% win probability, will likely beat Drake in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.