New Mexico State vs. San Diego State Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' New Mexico State vs. San Diego State prediction for Sunday, November 15, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
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New Mexico State NMSU
Predicted score
67
:
80
Frontwave Arena
San Diego State SDSU
Frontwave Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

San Diego State -12.5
Spread
  • New Mexico State
    48.1%
    BetMGMBetMGM
  • San Diego State
    51.9%
    BetRiversBetRivers

New Mexico State vs. San Diego State prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Sunday

  • Teams: New Mexico State vs. San Diego State
  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Tip-off: 4:00PM ET
  • Venue: Frontwave Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: New Mexico State (+11.5, -102), San Diego State (-11.5, -102)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points (-103/-112)
  • Moneyline: New Mexico State +580, San Diego State -800

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • New Mexico State: 13.6%
  • San Diego State: 86.4%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as New Mexico State 67 and San Diego State 79.

This is a margin of 12 points against a spread of 11.5, and a projected total of 146 points against a market line of 144.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives New Mexico State a win probability of 13.6%, while San Diego State has a win probability of 86.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, San Diego State is more likely to beat New Mexico State in the men's college basketball game at Frontwave Arena on Sunday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our New Mexico State vs. San Diego State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.