Cincinnati vs. Dayton prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Cincinnati is favored to beat Dayton at UD Arena on Saturday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Cincinnati vs. Dayton prediction gives the Bearcats a 71.7% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Dayton to cover at +6.5.

Cincinnati vs. Dayton key predictions

• Predicted score: Cincinnati 76-70 Dayton
• Cincinnati win probability: 71.7%
• Dayton win probability: 28.3%
• Dayton +6.5 spread: 55.0% cover probability
• Under 146.5 points: 53.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Cincinnati vs. Dayton odds

These are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Cincinnati moneyline: -260 (FanDuel)
• Dayton moneyline: +240 (BetRivers)
• Cincinnati -6.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Dayton +6.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Over 146.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 146.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Cincinnati vs. Dayton pick: Dayton +6.5 (-107)

Our model makes Cincinnati the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Flyers to cover the +6.5 spread at -107 on BetRivers.

Those odds give Dayton an implied cover probability of 51.7%, while our model rates it at 55.0%.

That's a 3.3% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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Cincinnati vs. Dayton game details

• Matchup: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Dayton Flyers
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: UD Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.