Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Arkansas-Little Rock is favored to beat Northwestern State at Jack Stephens Center on Saturday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock prediction gives the Demons an 81.3% chance of coming out on top, and the latest odds suggest the best value is on the Arkansas-Little Rock moneyline, too.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock key predictions

• Predicted score: Arkansas-Little Rock 76-67 Northwestern State
• Arkansas-Little Rock win probability: 81.3%
• Northwestern State win probability: 18.7%
• Northwestern State +9.5 spread: 50.8% cover probability
• Under 143.5 points: 50.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock odds

Here are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• Northwestern State moneyline: +370 (BetRivers)
• Arkansas-Little Rock moneyline: -440 (DraftKings)
• Northwestern State +9.5: -105 (DraftKings)
• Arkansas-Little Rock -9.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 143.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Under 143.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock pick: Arkansas-Little Rock ML (-440)

Our model makes Arkansas-Little Rock the more likely winner, and our best value bet is the Demons moneyline at -440 on DraftKings, too.

Those odds give Arkansas-Little Rock an implied win probability of 81.5%, while our model rates it at 81.3%.

Despite a -0.2% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Northwestern State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock game details

• Matchup: Northwestern State Demons vs. Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Jack Stephens Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.