Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Texas-Arlington is favored to beat Texas Rio Grande Valley at College Park Center on Saturday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington prediction gives Texas Rio Grande Valley a 64.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Texas Rio Grande Valley to cover at +4.5.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington key predictions

• Predicted score: Texas-Arlington 73-69 Texas Rio Grande Valley
• Texas-Arlington win probability: 64.8%
• Texas Rio Grande Valley win probability: 35.2%
• Texas Rio Grande Valley +4.5 spread: 55.5% cover probability
• Over 139.5 points: 54.2% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington odds

Here are the best available prices across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• Texas Rio Grande Valley moneyline: +175 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Texas-Arlington moneyline: -194 (FanDuel)
• Texas Rio Grande Valley +4.5: -108 (DraftKings)
• Texas-Arlington -4.5: -109 (BetRivers)
• Over 139.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 139.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington pick: Texas Rio Grande Valley +4.5 (-108)

Our model makes Texas-Arlington the likelier winner, but our best value bet is Texas-Arlington to cover the +4.5 spread at -108 on DraftKings.

Those odds give Texas Rio Grande Valley an implied cover probability of 51.9%, while our model puts it at 55.5%.

That's a 3.6% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this matchup.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington game details

• Matchup: Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. Texas-Arlington
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: College Park Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.