UC Riverside vs. Fresno State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 14, 2026

Fresno State is favored to beat UC Riverside at Save Mart Center on Saturday (6:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our UC Riverside vs. Fresno State prediction gives UC Riverside a 62.8% chance of coming out on top, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on UC Riverside to cover at +4.5.

UC Riverside vs. Fresno State key predictions

• Predicted score: Fresno State 77-73 UC Riverside
• Fresno State win probability: 62.8%
• UC Riverside win probability: 37.2%
• UC Riverside +4.5 spread: 55.5% cover probability
• Over 149.5 points: 52.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

UC Riverside vs. Fresno State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

• UC Riverside moneyline: +180 (BetRivers)
• Fresno State moneyline: -205 (DraftKings)
• UC Riverside +4.5: -105 (BetRivers)
• Fresno State -4.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Over 149.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 149.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

UC Riverside vs. Fresno State pick: UC Riverside +4.5 (-105)

Our model makes Fresno State the more likely winner, but our best value bet is Fresno State to cover the +4.5 spread at -105 on BetRivers.

Those odds give UC Riverside an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model rates it at 55.5%.

That's a 4.3% edge, the biggest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.

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UC Riverside vs. Fresno State game details

• Matchup: UC Riverside vs. Fresno State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• Venue: Save Mart Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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