UC Riverside vs. Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds
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- Fresno State
UC Riverside vs. Fresno State prediction & analysis
Game overview: Men's college basketball Saturday
- Teams: UC Riverside vs. Fresno State
- Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
- Tip-off: 6:00PM ET
- Venue: Save Mart Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: UC Riverside (+5.5, -115), Fresno State (-5.5, -105)
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points (-110/-110)
- Moneyline: UC Riverside +185, Fresno State -210
Dimers’ win probabilities
- UC Riverside: 32.9%
- Fresno State: 67.1%
Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as UC Riverside 73 and Fresno State 77.
This is a margin of 4 points against a spread of 5.5, and a projected total of 150 points against a market line of 149.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives UC Riverside a win probability of 32.9%, while Fresno State has a win probability of 67.1%.
Summary
According to our analysis, Fresno State is more likely to beat UC Riverside in the men's college basketball game at Save Mart Center on Saturday.
Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our UC Riverside vs. Fresno State predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.