Louisville vs. Memphis Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Louisville vs. Memphis prediction for Sunday, November 15, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our college basketball machine learning model.
MEN'S CBB
CBB sport icon
MEN'S CBB
Louisville LOU
Predicted score
84
:
76
FedExForum
Memphis MEM
FedExForum
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Memphis +8.5
Spread
  • Louisville
    45.2%
    CaesarsCaesars
  • Memphis
    54.8%
    DraftKingsDraftKings

Louisville vs. Memphis prediction & analysis

Game overview: Men's college basketball Sunday

  • Teams: Louisville vs. Memphis
  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026
  • Tip-off: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Louisville (-8.5, -110), Memphis (+8.5, -108)
  • Total (Over/Under): 162.5 points (-115/-105)
  • Moneyline: Louisville -395, Memphis +310

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Louisville: 74.6%
  • Memphis: 25.4%

Our college basketball win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this college basketball matchup as Louisville 83 and Memphis 76.

This is a margin of 7 points against a spread of 8.5, and a projected total of 159 points against a market line of 162.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Louisville a win probability of 74.6%, while Memphis has a win probability of 25.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, Louisville is more likely to beat Memphis in the men's college basketball game at FedExForum on Sunday.

Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Louisville vs. Memphis predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert men's college basketball predictions and the best men's college basketball bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes men's college basketball props, men's college basketball futures, men's college basketball odds, and the latest men's college basketball news.