Lightning vs. Blue Jackets Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Lightning vs. Blue Jackets in the NHL on Thursday, November 12, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Lightning
vs.
Nationwide Arena
Blue Jackets
Nationwide Arena
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Lightning
    52.8%
    NovigNovig
  • Blue Jackets
    47.2%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Lightning
Probability
  • Nikita Kucherov
    40.5%
  • Jake Guentzel
    38.4%
  • Brandon Hagel
    36.3%
  • Anthony Cirelli
  • Pontus Holmberg
Blue Jackets
Probability
  • Adam Fantilli
    29.2%
  • Charlie Coyle
    24.7%
  • Mathieu Olivier
    22.9%
  • Zach Werenski
  • Matthew Knies

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Nationwide Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Lightning (-1.5, +228), Blue Jackets (+1.5, -239)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+100/-102)
  • Moneyline: Lightning -108, Blue Jackets +108

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Lightning: 52.8%
  • Blue Jackets: 47.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Lightning vs. Blue Jackets player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Nikita Kucherov, Lightning: 40.5%
  • Jake Guentzel, Lightning: 38.4%
  • Adam Fantilli, Blue Jackets: 29.2%
  • Charlie Coyle, Blue Jackets: 24.7%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 52.8%, while the Blue Jackets have a win probability of 47.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Blue Jackets in the NHL game at Nationwide Arena on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Lightning vs. Blue Jackets, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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