Avalanche vs. Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Avalanche vs. Senators in the NHL on Thursday, November 12, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Avalanche
vs.
Canadian Tire Centre
Senators
Canadian Tire Centre
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Avalanche
    52.5%
    NovigNovig
  • Senators
    47.5%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Avalanche
Probability
  • Nathan MacKinnon
    38.5%
  • Martin Necas
    32.7%
  • Artturi Lehkonen
    29.6%
  • Brock Nelson
  • Cale Makar
Senators
Probability
  • Tim Stutzle
    33.9%
  • Drake Batherson
    33.6%
  • Shane Pinto
    27.3%
  • Dylan Cozens
  • Michael Amadio

Avalanche vs. Senators prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Colorado Avalanche vs. Ottawa Senators
  • Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Avalanche (-1.5, +228), Senators (+1.5, -239)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -113, Senators +111

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Avalanche: 52.7%
  • Senators: 47.3%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Avalanche vs. Senators player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Nathan MacKinnon, Avalanche: 38.2%
  • Martin Necas, Avalanche: 33.1%
  • Tim Stutzle, Senators: 34.5%
  • Drake Batherson, Senators: 34.0%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Avalanche a win probability of 52.7%, while the Senators have a win probability of 47.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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