Canadiens vs. Bruins Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Canadiens vs. Bruins in the NHL on Thursday, November 12, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
NHL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Canadiens
vs.
TD Garden
Bruins
TD Garden
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Canadiens
    46.8%
    NovigNovig
  • Bruins
    53.2%
    NovigNovig
Player Props
Canadiens
Probability
  • Cole Caufield
    41.5%
  • Nick Suzuki
    26.5%
  • Juraj Slafkovsky
    22.5%
  • Alex Newhook
  • Zachary Bolduc
Bruins
Probability
  • David Pastrnak
    34.8%
  • Morgan Geekie
    29.9%
  • Pavel Zacha
    29.7%
  • JJ Peterka
  • Elias Lindholm

Canadiens vs. Bruins prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Thursday

  • Teams: Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins
  • Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
  • Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Canadiens (+1.5, -228), Bruins (-1.5, +217)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+115/-117)
  • Moneyline: Canadiens +113, Bruins -115

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Canadiens: 46.8%
  • Bruins: 53.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Canadiens vs. Bruins player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Cole Caufield, Canadiens: 39.0%
  • Nick Suzuki, Canadiens: 26.6%
  • David Pastrnak, Bruins: 33.7%
  • Pavel Zacha, Bruins: 30.1%

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  • All player prop probabilities for every NHL game.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Canadiens a win probability of 46.8%, while the Bruins have a win probability of 53.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Bruins are more likely to beat the Canadiens in the NHL game at TD Garden on Thursday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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