Wild vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds
Moneyline
- Wild
- Maple Leafs
- Kirill Kaprizov48.9%
- Matt Boldy39.8%
- Blake Coleman25.2%
- Joel Ek
- Max Shabanov
- William Nylander35.8%
- Auston Matthews35.1%
- Jack Roslovic28.9%
- John Tavares
- Gavin McKenna
Wild vs. Maple Leafs prediction & analysis
Game overview: NHL Thursday
- Teams: Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
- Puck drop: 7:00PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current betting odds
- Puck line: Wild (-1.5, +156), Maple Leafs (+1.5, -163)
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+104/-108)
- Moneyline: Wild -159, Maple Leafs +156
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Wild: 59.3%
- Maple Leafs: 40.7%
Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.
It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs player props & projections
Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:
- Kirill Kaprizov, Wild: 47.9%
- Matt Boldy, Wild: 40.5%
- William Nylander, Maple Leafs: 36.9%
- Auston Matthews, Maple Leafs: 35.9%
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wild a win probability of 59.3%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 40.7%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Wild are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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