Islanders vs. Sharks Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Islanders vs. Sharks in the NHL on Monday, November 9, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, game total, and player props.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Islanders
2
3
SAP Center at San Jose
Sharks
SAP Center at San Jose
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
1 1 0 0 2
Sharks
1 1 0 0 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Islanders
    0%
  • Sharks
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123OTT
Islanders
1 1 0 0 2
Sharks
1 1 0 0 3
OT1 04:19 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
OT1 03:53 Will Smith shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
OT1 03:04 Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
OT1 02:04 Shot on goal by Victor Eklund saved by Yaroslav Askarov
OT1 00:29 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 17:58 Matthew Kessel shot blocked by teammate
P3 17:10 Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 16:37 Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
P3 15:34 Zack Ostapchuk shot blocked by Logan Stanley
P3 14:57 Shot on goal by Michael Misa saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 13:27 Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
P3 12:54 Shot on goal by Kiefer Sherwood saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:33 Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Misa saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 12:13 Power play - Shot missed by Ivar Stenberg
P3 11:18 Power play - Shot on goal by Will Smith saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 11:04 Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:51 Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 10:42 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
P3 09:23 Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Yaroslav Askarov
P3 08:26 Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Ilya Sorokin
Play by Play
  1. SO
    End of Shootout period.
  2. SO
    Shootout Goal scored by Ivar Stenberg on Ilya Sorokin
  3. SO
    Shootout attempt missed by Michael Misa
  4. SO
    Shootout attempt by Simon Holmstrom saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  5. SO
    Shootout attempt by Sam Dickinson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  6. SO
    Shootout attempt by Mason Marchment saved by Ilya Sorokin
  7. SO
    Shootout attempt by Brayden Schenn saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  8. SO
    Shootout attempt by Kiefer Sherwood saved by Ilya Sorokin
  9. SO
    Shootout attempt by Will Smith saved by Ilya Sorokin
  10. SO
    Shootout attempt by Emil Heineman saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  11. SO
    Shootout attempt by Collin Graf saved by Ilya Sorokin
  12. SO
    Shootout attempt by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  13. SO
    Shootout attempt by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  14. SO
    Shootout attempt by Kyle Palmieri saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  15. OT1 05:00
    End of 1st OT.
  16. OT1 04:19
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  17. OT1 04:00
    Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer in defensive zone
  18. OT1 03:53
    SHOT
    Will Smith shot blocked by Matthew Schaefer
  19. OT1 03:06
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  20. OT1 03:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  21. OT1 02:08
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  22. OT1 02:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Victor Eklund saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  23. OT1 00:29
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  24. OT1 00:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
  25. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  26. P3 19:32
    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  27. P3 18:26
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
  28. P3 18:26
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  29. P3 17:58
    SHOT
    Matthew Kessel shot blocked by teammate
  30. P3 17:56
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  31. P3 17:56
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  32. P3 17:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Ilya Sorokin
  33. P3 16:37
    SHOT
    Emil Heineman shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
  34. P3 16:14
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  35. P3 16:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  36. P3 15:36
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  37. P3 15:36
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  38. P3 15:34
    SHOT
    Zack Ostapchuk shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  39. P3 15:28
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in defensive zone
  40. P3 15:28
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 14:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Misa saved by Ilya Sorokin
  42. P3 13:27
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  43. P3 12:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kiefer Sherwood saved by Ilya Sorokin
  44. P3 12:54
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  45. P3 12:53
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  46. P3 12:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  47. P3 12:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Misa saved by Ilya Sorokin
  48. P3 12:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Ivar Stenberg
  49. P3 11:18
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Will Smith saved by Ilya Sorokin
  50. P3 11:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Macklin Celebrini shot blocked by teammate
  51. P3 10:53
    Islanders won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  52. P3 10:51
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  53. P3 10:45
    Penalty to Ondrej Palat 2 minutes for Misconduct
  54. P3 10:45
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  55. P3 10:42
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zack Ostapchuk saved by Ilya Sorokin
  56. P3 09:47
    Shorthanded - Collin Graf won faceoff against Ondrej Palat in neutral zone
  57. P3 09:47
    Stoppage - Offside
  58. P3 09:25
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in offensive zone
  59. P3 09:25
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  60. P3 09:23
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Schenn saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  61. P3 08:52
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  62. P3 08:52
    Penalty to Sharks 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Victor Eklund)
  63. P3 08:52
    Penalty to Mason Marchment 2 minutes for Misconduct
  64. P3 08:52
    Penalty to Victor Eklund 2 minutes for Misconduct
  65. P3 08:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Ilya Sorokin
  66. P3 08:23
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in offensive zone
  67. P3 07:54
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  68. P3 07:46
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jean-Gabriel Pageau
  69. P3 07:24
    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
  70. P3 07:13
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  71. P3 07:13
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  72. P3 07:01
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in offensive zone
  73. P3 06:30
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
  74. P3 06:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Eric Pohlkamp
  75. P3 04:46
    Giveaway by Sam Dickinson in defensive zone
  76. P3 04:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Anthony Duclair saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  77. P3 04:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  78. P3 04:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Wennberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  79. P3 04:03
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  80. P3 03:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alexander Wennberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  81. P3 03:48
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  82. P3 03:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  83. P3 03:22
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Macklin Celebrini
  84. P3 03:06
    SHOT
    Will Smith shot blocked by Victor Eklund
  85. P3 02:15
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  86. P3 01:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  87. P3 01:53
    Stoppage - Icing
  88. P3 01:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  89. P3 01:23
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
  90. P3 01:21
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  91. P3 01:10
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Kyle Palmieri
  92. P3 00:11
    Michael Misa credited with hit on Tony DeAngelo in offensive zone
  93. P3 00:00
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  94. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  95. P2 19:56
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  96. P2 19:49
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
  97. P2 19:48
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
  98. P2 19:48
    Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson
  99. P2 18:38
    Takeaway by Sam Dickinson in defensive zone
  100. P2 18:25
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  101. P2 17:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Michael Kesselring saved by Ilya Sorokin
  102. P2 17:13
    Giveaway by Kiefer Sherwood in neutral zone
  103. P2 16:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Ilya Sorokin
  104. P2 15:58
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in defensive zone
  105. P2 15:58
    Stoppage - TV timeout
  106. P2 15:06
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  107. P2 15:04
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  108. P2 14:52
    Power play - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  109. P2 14:52
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  110. P2 14:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  111. P2 14:23
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Sam Dickinson saved by Ilya Sorokin
  112. P2 13:37
    Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in offensive zone
  113. P2 13:37
    Penalty to Mason Marchment 2 minutes for Tripping
  114. P2 12:42
    SHOT
    Sam Dickinson shot blocked by Ben Hutton
  115. P2 12:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ben Hutton saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  116. P2 12:12
    Zack Ostapchuk won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in neutral zone
  117. P2 12:09
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Dmitry Orlov
    2-2
  118. P2 12:02
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Michael Misa
  119. P2 11:42
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Michael Misa in defensive zone
  120. P2 11:42
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  121. P2 11:40
    SHOT
    Power play - Eric Pohlkamp shot blocked by Casey Cizikas
  122. P2 10:38
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  123. P2 10:06
    Power play - Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  124. P2 10:06
    Penalty to Kyle MacLean 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Macklin Celebrini)
  125. P2 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Kyle Palmieri saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  126. P2 08:38
    Giveaway by Sam Dickinson in defensive zone
  127. P2 08:31
    Takeaway by Darnell Nurse in neutral zone
  128. P2 08:25
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Ilya Sorokin
  129. P2 08:15
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
  130. P2 08:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  131. P2 07:00
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Collin Graf
  132. P2 06:52
    SHOT
    Eric Pohlkamp shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
  133. P2 05:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Ilya Sorokin
  134. P2 05:08
    SHOT
    Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  135. P2 04:25
    Shorthanded - Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in defensive zone
  136. P2 04:25
    Penalty to Matthew Kessel 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Kiefer Sherwood)
  137. P2 04:21
    Delayed penalty (against the Islanders)
  138. P2 04:07
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Ilya Sorokin
  139. P2 02:35
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Eklund
  140. P2 01:59
    SHOT
    Matthew Kessel shot blocked by teammate
  141. P2 01:57
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  142. P2 01:57
    Stoppage - Official Injury
  143. P2 01:11
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  144. P2 01:11
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Victor Eklund assisted by Brayden Schenn and Matthew Schaefer
    2-1
  145. P2 00:56
    SHOT
    Power play - Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Ty Dellandrea
  146. P2 00:50
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Victor Eklund
  147. P2 00:35
    Power play - Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
  148. P2 00:35
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  149. P2 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Ilya Sorokin
  150. P2 00:00
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  151. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  152. P1 19:56
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
  153. P1 19:56
    Stoppage - Icing
  154. P1 19:38
    Stoppage - Icing
  155. P1 19:25
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Kyle Palmieri in neutral zone
  156. P1 19:10
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  157. P1 18:59
    SHOT
    Anthony Duclair shot blocked by Michael Kesselring
  158. P1 18:33
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in neutral zone
  159. P1 18:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivar Stenberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  160. P1 18:04
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in defensive zone
  161. P1 18:04
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches
  162. P1 17:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  163. P1 17:06
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Mitchell Chaffee
  164. P1 17:04
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mitchell Chaffee saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  165. P1 16:41
    Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Zack Ostapchuk in neutral zone
  166. P1 16:05
    Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against Brayden Schenn in defensive zone
  167. P1 16:05
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  168. P1 16:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Schaefer saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  169. P1 15:23
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  170. P1 15:23
    Stoppage - Icing
  171. P1 14:54
    SHOT
    Kiefer Sherwood shot blocked by Simon Holmstrom
  172. P1 14:40
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  173. P1 13:57
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Ivar Stenberg saved by Ilya Sorokin
  174. P1 13:53
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Tyler Toffoli saved by Ilya Sorokin
  175. P1 13:40
    SHOT
    Tyler Toffoli shot blocked by Logan Stanley
  176. P1 12:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Will Smith saved by Ilya Sorokin
  177. P1 12:02
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Will Smith
  178. P1 11:44
    Brayden Schenn won faceoff against Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
  179. P1 11:20
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in defensive zone
  180. P1 11:20
    Stoppage - Icing
  181. P1 10:15
    Alexander Wennberg won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
  182. P1 10:15
    Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
  183. P1 09:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Jacob Trouba
  184. P1 09:51
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Ivar Stenberg
  185. P1 09:44
    SHOT
    Jacob Trouba shot blocked by Kyle MacLean
  186. P1 09:39
    SHOT
    Ivar Stenberg shot blocked by Tony DeAngelo
  187. P1 08:30
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Ilya Sorokin
  188. P1 07:27
    Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini in offensive zone
  189. P1 07:21
    Michael Misa won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in offensive zone
  190. P1 07:21
    Islanders won faceoff against Sharks in neutral zone
  191. P1 07:21
    Stoppage - High Stick - TV timeout
  192. P1 06:14
    Jean-Gabriel Pageau won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
  193. P1 05:48
    SHOT
    Michael Misa shot blocked by Brayden Schenn
  194. P1 05:03
    Giveaway by Ivar Stenberg in offensive zone
  195. P1 04:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Emil Heineman saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  196. P1 04:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Matthew Kessel saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  197. P1 03:51
    Macklin Celebrini won faceoff against Jean-Gabriel Pageau in neutral zone
  198. P1 03:51
    Stoppage - Hand Pass
  199. P1 03:39
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Bo Horvat
  200. P1 02:32
    Giveaway by Dmitry Orlov in neutral zone
  201. P1 02:21
    SHOT
    Matthew Kessel shot blocked by Barclay Goodrow
  202. P1 01:48
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Victor Eklund
  203. P1 01:05
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Jean-Gabriel Pageau saved by Yaroslav Askarov
  204. P1 00:35
    Will Smith won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
  205. P1 00:35
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  206. P1 00:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Macklin Celebrini saved by Ilya Sorokin
  207. P1 00:28
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  208. P1 00:14
    Simon Holmstrom credited with hit on Kiefer Sherwood in offensive zone
  209. P1 00:00
    Bo Horvat won faceoff against Alexander Wennberg in neutral zone
  210. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Islanders
STATS
Sharks
32Shots on Goal39
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
18Penalty Infraction Mins18
21Hits27
13 Shots Blocked 10
16Giveaways22
IslandersNYI
SharksSJ
32Shots on Goal39
58% Faceoff Win % 42%
4/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/0
18Penalty Infraction Mins18
21Hits27
13 Shots Blocked 10
16Giveaways22

Islanders vs. Sharks prediction & analysis

Game overview: NHL Monday

  • Teams: NY Islanders Islanders vs. San Jose Sharks
  • Date: Monday, November 9, 2026
  • Puck drop: 10:00PM ET
  • Venue: SAP Center at San Jose

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Islanders (-1.5, +190), Sharks (+1.5, -194)
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+108/-111)
  • Moneyline: Islanders -130, Sharks +130

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Islanders: 54.8%
  • Sharks: 45.2%

Our NHL win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team’s offensive and defensive performance, calculating multiple factors and accounting for OT and shootout chances.

It draws from these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals.

Islanders vs. Sharks player props & projections

Our highest anytime goalscorer probabilities for this game are:

  • Bo Horvat, Islanders: 34.5%
  • Matthew Schaefer, Islanders: 27.8%
  • Macklin Celebrini, Sharks: 42.1%
  • Will Smith, Sharks: 28.9%

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Islanders a win probability of 54.8%, while the Sharks have a win probability of 45.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Sharks in the NHL game at SAP Center at San Jose on Monday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

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