Kings vs. Avalanche: NHL Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Avalanche NHL game on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL sport icon
NHL
Kings
4
8
Ball Arena
Avalanche
Ball Arena
TEAM123T
Kings
1 2 1 4
Avalanche
2 4 2 8
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Kings
    0%
  • Avalanche
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Kings
1 2 1 4
Avalanche
2 4 2 8
P3 17:14 Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Cale Makar
P3 17:04 Martin Necas shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
P3 16:28 Brock Nelson shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
P3 15:53 Shot missed by Samuel Helenius
P3 15:48 Cody Ceci shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
P3 15:06 Power play - Goal scored by Artturi Lehkonen assisted by Brock Nelson and Devon Toews
P3 11:50 Goal scored by Artemi Panarin assisted by Drew Doughty and Alex Laferriere
P3 10:57 Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by teammate
P3 10:26 Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
P3 10:01 Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 06:55 Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 06:44 Shot missed by Trevor Moore
P3 05:58 Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P3 01:44 Shot missed by Fedor Svechkov
P3 00:47 Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 17:13 Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 17:02 Shot on goal by Erik Haula saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
P2 15:56 Josh Manson shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
P2 15:46 Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Darcy Kuemper
P2 15:22 Drew Doughty shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
Play by Play
  1. P3 20:00
    End of 3rd Period.
  2. P3 19:11
    Samuel Helenius credited with hit on Nazem Kadri in offensive zone
  3. P3 18:45
    Samuel Helenius credited with hit on Josh Manson in offensive zone
  4. P3 17:31
    Jaden Schwartz credited with hit on Drew Doughty in neutral zone
  5. P3 17:17
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in offensive zone
  6. P3 17:17
    Stoppage - Puck in Netting
  7. P3 17:14
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Cale Makar
  8. P3 17:04
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
  9. P3 16:28
    SHOT
    Brock Nelson shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  10. P3 15:53
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Samuel Helenius
  11. P3 15:48
    SHOT
    Cody Ceci shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
  12. P3 15:06
    T.J. Hughes won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in neutral zone
  13. P3 15:06
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Artturi Lehkonen assisted by Brock Nelson and Devon Toews
    4-8
  14. P3 14:15
    Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Scott Laughton in offensive zone
  15. P3 14:03
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Nicolas Roy in neutral zone
  16. P3 13:20
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  17. P3 13:20
    Penalty to Brandt Clarke 5 minutes for Fighting
  18. P3 12:43
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  19. P3 12:43
    Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
  20. P3 11:51
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  21. P3 11:50
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Artemi Panarin assisted by Drew Doughty and Alex Laferriere
    4-6
  22. P3 10:57
    SHOT
    Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by teammate
  23. P3 10:43
    Giveaway by Joel Armia in offensive zone
  24. P3 10:26
    SHOT
    Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  25. P3 10:01
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  26. P3 08:44
    Takeaway by Nicolas Roy in offensive zone
  27. P3 08:07
    T.J. Hughes credited with hit on Samuel Helenius in offensive zone
  28. P3 07:29
    Giveaway by Brandt Clarke in defensive zone
  29. P3 07:17
    Samuel Helenius won faceoff against T.J. Hughes in offensive zone
  30. P3 06:55
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Darcy Kuemper
  31. P3 06:53
    Adrian Kempe won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
  32. P3 06:53
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  33. P3 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Trevor Moore
  34. P3 05:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  35. P3 05:30
    Power play - Takeaway by Quinton Byfield in defensive zone
  36. P3 05:05
    Power play - Giveaway by Artemi Panarin in offensive zone
  37. P3 04:30
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in neutral zone
  38. P3 01:44
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Fedor Svechkov
  39. P3 01:14
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  40. P3 01:14
    Stoppage - Icing
  41. P3 00:57
    Takeaway by Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  42. P3 00:47
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Darcy Kuemper
  43. P3 00:00
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  44. P2 20:00
    End of 2nd Period.
  45. P2 19:52
    Alex Laferriere credited with hit on Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  46. P2 19:32
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  47. P2 17:50
    Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Erik Haula in neutral zone
  48. P2 17:15
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  49. P2 17:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Darcy Kuemper
  50. P2 17:08
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in offensive zone
  51. P2 17:05
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  52. P2 17:02
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Haula saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  53. P2 16:01
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  54. P2 15:56
    SHOT
    Josh Manson shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
  55. P2 15:49
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  56. P2 15:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
  57. P2 15:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Josh Manson saved by Darcy Kuemper
  58. P2 15:22
    SHOT
    Drew Doughty shot blocked by Noah Juulsen
  59. P2 14:41
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Andre Lee
  60. P2 14:40
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  61. P2 13:33
    SHOT
    Power play - Brandt Clarke shot blocked by teammate
  62. P2 12:57
    SHOT
    Power play - Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Artturi Lehkonen
  63. P2 12:19
    Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  64. P2 11:54
    Delayed penalty (against the Avalanche)
  65. P2 11:46
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Cale Makar saved by Darcy Kuemper
  66. P2 11:15
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against T.J. Hughes in offensive zone
  67. P2 11:13
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Haula saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  68. P2 11:02
    Giveaway by Martin Necas in offensive zone
  69. P2 09:08
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  70. P2 09:04
    Nicolas Roy credited with hit on Erik Haula in offensive zone
  71. P2 08:44
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Parker Kelly in defensive zone
  72. P2 08:33
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Erik Haula in neutral zone
  73. P2 08:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brian Dumoulin saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  74. P2 08:05
    Giveaway by Artturi Lehkonen in neutral zone
  75. P2 07:53
    Kings won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  76. P2 07:35
    Alex Turcotte credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
  77. P2 07:25
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
  78. P2 06:44
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Erik Haula saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  79. P2 06:29
    SHOT
    Brett Kulak shot blocked by Quinton Byfield
  80. P2 06:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by T.J. Hughes saved by Darcy Kuemper
  81. P2 05:46
    SHOT
    Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Cale Makar
  82. P2 05:25
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  83. P2 04:45
    SHOT
    Brandt Clarke shot blocked by Gabriel Landeskog
  84. P2 04:16
    Brock Nelson won faceoff against Samuel Helenius in defensive zone
  85. P2 04:16
    Stoppage - Puck Frozen
  86. P2 03:12
    SHOT
    Drew Doughty shot blocked by Fedor Svechkov
  87. P2 02:17
    SHOT
    Joel Edmundson shot blocked by Devon Toews
  88. P2 01:41
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by Nazem Kadri saved by Darcy Kuemper
  89. P2 01:28
    Power play - Nazem Kadri won faceoff against Erik Haula in neutral zone
  90. P2 01:28
    GOAL
    Shorthanded - Goal scored by Joel Armia assisted by Erik Haula and Cody Ceci
    2-3
  91. P2 00:23
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in neutral zone
  92. P2 00:23
    GOAL
    Power play - Goal scored by Nathan MacKinnon assisted by Nazem Kadri and Cale Makar
    1-3
  93. P2 00:00
    Power play - Gabriel Landeskog won faceoff against Erik Haula in neutral zone
  94. P1 20:00
    End of 1st Period.
  95. P1 19:52
    Shorthanded - Scott Laughton won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  96. P1 19:52
    Penalty to Drew Doughty 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by T.J. Hughes)
  97. P1 19:46
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot on goal by T.J. Hughes saved by Darcy Kuemper
  98. P1 18:37
    Erik Haula won faceoff against Gabriel Landeskog in defensive zone
  99. P1 18:37
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  100. P1 18:35
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Martin Necas saved by Darcy Kuemper
  101. P1 18:07
    SHOT
    Martin Necas shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
  102. P1 17:58
    Nathan MacKinnon won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  103. P1 17:58
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Parker Kelly assisted by Josh Manson
    1-2
  104. P1 17:49
    SHOT
    Power play - Drew Doughty shot blocked by teammate
  105. P1 15:55
    Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  106. P1 15:52
    Delayed penalty (against the Avalanche)
  107. P1 15:43
    Erik Haula won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in defensive zone
  108. P1 15:43
    Stoppage - High Stick
  109. P1 15:14
    Nicolas Roy won faceoff against Scott Laughton in neutral zone
  110. P1 15:12
    GOAL
    Goal scored by Brian Dumoulin
    1-1
  111. P1 14:37
    Fedor Svechkov won faceoff against Alex Turcotte in defensive zone
  112. P1 14:25
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against T.J. Hughes in neutral zone
  113. P1 13:06
    SHOT
    Nathan MacKinnon shot blocked by Scott Laughton
  114. P1 12:56
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Darcy Kuemper
  115. P1 12:13
    SHOT
    Power play - Brian Dumoulin shot blocked by Josh Manson
  116. P1 12:09
    Power play - Erik Haula won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in offensive zone
  117. P1 10:58
    SHOT
    Power play - Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  118. P1 10:36
    SHOT
    Power play - Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Artturi Lehkonen
  119. P1 10:21
    Power play - Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
  120. P1 09:54
    SHOT
    Shot missed by T.J. Hughes
  121. P1 09:53
    SHOT
    Fedor Svechkov shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
  122. P1 09:26
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Alex Laferriere saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  123. P1 08:24
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Darcy Kuemper
  124. P1 07:53
    Quinton Byfield won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in offensive zone
  125. P1 07:46
    Stoppage - Icing
  126. P1 07:33
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Brandt Clarke saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  127. P1 07:13
    Giveaway by Nicolas Roy in defensive zone
  128. P1 07:06
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Adrian Kempe saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  129. P1 06:56
    SHOT
    Devon Toews shot blocked by Joel Edmundson
  130. P1 06:33
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  131. P1 04:48
    Kings won faceoff against Avalanche in defensive zone
  132. P1 04:48
    Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
  133. P1 04:07
    Giveaway by Mackenzie Blackwood in defensive zone
  134. P1 03:49
    Erik Haula won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  135. P1 03:49
    Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
  136. P1 03:48
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Nathan MacKinnon saved by Darcy Kuemper
  137. P1 03:14
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Scott Laughton saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  138. P1 03:00
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Nathan MacKinnon in neutral zone
  139. P1 03:00
    Stoppage - Offside
  140. P1 01:36
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in neutral zone
  141. P1 01:36
    Stoppage - Offside
  142. P1 01:15
    Alex Turcotte won faceoff against Fedor Svechkov in offensive zone
  143. P1 00:47
    Giveaway by Nazem Kadri in defensive zone
  144. P1 00:38
    Scott Laughton won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
  145. P1 00:24
    SHOT
    Shot missed by Artemi Panarin
  146. P1 00:11
    SHOT
    Shot on goal by Quinton Byfield saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
  147. P1 00:00
    Game Setup.
Stats
Kings
STATS
Avalanche
31Shots on Goal29
64% Faceoff Win % 36%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/4
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
17Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 15
10Giveaways12
KingsLA
AvalancheCOL
31Shots on Goal29
64% Faceoff Win % 36%
4/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 5/4
15Penalty Infraction Mins13
17Hits19
15 Shots Blocked 15
10Giveaways12

Kings vs. Avalanche: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NHL Wednesday

  • Teams: Los Angeles Kings vs. Colorado Avalanche
  • Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
  • Time: 10:00PM ET
  • Venue: Ball Arena

Current betting odds

  • Puck line: Kings (+1.5, -150), Avalanche (-1.5, +135)
  • Moneyline: Kings +171, Avalanche -196
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 goals (+110/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Kings: 36.6%
  • Avalanche: 63.4%

Dimers' predictive NHL model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 36.6%, while the Avalanche have a win probability of 63.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Avalanche are more likely to beat the Kings in the NHL game at Ball Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best puck line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Kings vs. Avalanche predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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